SUMMARY
Economy at Glance
Gas Crisis in Ukraine: Unfavorable Weather and a Demo of Russia
- The reaction of Gazprom to the decision of the Stockholm court on compensation for Naftogaz $ 4.6 billion through the “transit” lawsuit was almost lightning – the Russian side has reduced the supply of gas to the Ukrainian side by 20%.
- Such a decision by the Russian side led to temporary technical problems in the Ukrainian GTS, but also substantially worsened the image of Russia as a gas supplier to Europe.
Policy at Glance
Balance of Power in the Regions after Three Waves of Elections in the United Territorial Communities
- Central authorities have weak political influence on regional elites and leadership of the united territorial communities (UTCs).
- The “Batkivshchyna” party regains its political influence in regions and becomes a principal rival of the current authorities.
Conflict Resolution at Glance
Ukraine Struggles with Russia over Crimean Waters
- By means of international arbitration Ukraine seeks to male Russia terminate its economic activities in maritime zones around Crimea, including construction of a bridge across the Kerch Strait.
- An arbitral award is most likely to increase Russia’s price for the annexation of Crimea, even if the Kremlin does not comply with it.
