Analysis of the political competition of the “Za Majbutne” party

  The “Za Majbutne” Party headed by Ihor Palytsia is one of the most dynamic and active all-Ukrainian political projects, pouring millions of dollars in cash into local elections. Simply put, “Za Majbutne” just buys everyone – heads of UTCs, mayors, media, experts and political scientists. According to sources working in the election headquarters of Read more about Analysis of the political competition of the “Za Majbutne” party[…]

Analysis of the Law “On Intelligence of Ukraine”

On September 17, Parliament approved the Law “On Intelligence of Ukraine”, which is considered one of the important elements on the way to Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration. The respective decision gathered 258 votes. According to its provisions, there are the following intelligence agencies in Ukraine: Intelligence body of the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine (Main Intelligence Read more about Analysis of the Law “On Intelligence of Ukraine”[…]

Analysis of strategies of major political parties in local elections 2020

  The election campaign officially began in Ukraine on September 5, although all parties began campaigning in July. According to the civic network “OPORA”, about 70 political parties conducted their agitation activities in July-August 2020. According to preliminary data of the CEC, about 130 political parties plan participating in the 2020 local elections.   “Servant Read more about Analysis of strategies of major political parties in local elections 2020[…]

Elections in Kyiv: analysis of ratings and positions of key political players in the capital

  On July 14, the most authoritative sociological centre in Ukraine – Razumkov Centre presented a survey on the electoral orientations of Kyiv residents in elections of mayor of Kyiv and to the Kyiv City Council. The survey was conducted from June 20 to July 2, 2020, and its results showed the electoral picture and Read more about Elections in Kyiv: analysis of ratings and positions of key political players in the capital[…]

Analysis of personnel decisions in authority structures

The main political event in February is the resignation of Andrii Bohdan and appointment of Andrii Yermak as the head of the President’s Office. This personnel decision is the result of the apparatus struggle of different groups of influence in the President’s Office for “access to the body of Zelenskyi”. After the victory of Yermak, Read more about Analysis of personnel decisions in authority structures[…]

2020 for President Zelenskyi: risks and possible scenarios

   The next year will be extremely difficult for Volodymyr Zelenskyi. Zelenskyi personally bears all political responsibility for state decisions, economic and foreign policy. As a result, there is a systematic fall in his ratings. It is likely that, after the winter tariff crisis, key oligarchs will be actively involved in the competition against Zelenskyi, Read more about 2020 for President Zelenskyi: risks and possible scenarios[…]

“Normandy format” negotiations: analysis of key political developments

 On December 6, the Presidential Office held a closed meeting of Presidential Assistant Andrii Yermak with key Ukrainian experts, where the main scenarios and options for the negotiation menu of Zelenskyi in Paris were elaborated. Subsequently, the expert developments became the basis for the NSDC decision dated December 7. In addition, Zelenskyi received very serious Read more about “Normandy format” negotiations: analysis of key political developments[…]

Political competition for Kyiv: analysis of 5 groups of influence in the “Sluha Narodu”

The struggle for control over Kyiv exacerbates in Zelenskyi’s team. In 2019, the city had a record budget of over UAH 58 billion (the 2020 budget is planned to reach UAH 65 billion). Control over Kyiv utility companies (metropolitan, advertising, transport, parking, construction of houses, roads and bridges, landscaping, renovation of premises, purchases and permits, Read more about Political competition for Kyiv: analysis of 5 groups of influence in the “Sluha Narodu”[…]

Ukrainian nationalist groups: analysis of players and their impact on political competition

On October 14, 2014, a March of Nationalists testified that radical forces in Ukraine could organize themselves and exert political pressure on the authorities. In general, the electoral positions of the radical forces and nationalist parties are very weak. However, despite small number and disparity, radicals and opponents of Zelenskyi’s peace initiatives are being very Read more about Ukrainian nationalist groups: analysis of players and their impact on political competition[…]

New Government of Oleksiy Honcharuk: risks, opportunities and major groups of influence

The new government of Oleksiy Honcharuk shall address a number of complex political and economic issues. First, it has to ensure high GDP growth and increase investment attractiveness. Second, carry out structural reforms in the agricultural, energy and social sectors. Apart from unpopular decisions, it will be necessary to fulfil the President’s populist demands – Read more about New Government of Oleksiy Honcharuk: risks, opportunities and major groups of influence[…]

Conflict lines of Ukrainian oligarchs before the opening of a new political season

  After the parliamentary elections, political and economic contradictions began to rapidly escalate between Ukrainian oligarchs. The lack of a single arbitrator among the oligarchs and the weakness of President Zelenskyi are gradually plunging the country into the chaos of an oligarchic struggle for resources. Ihor Kolomoiskyi, Viktor Pinchuk and Arsen Avakov have the best Read more about Conflict lines of Ukrainian oligarchs before the opening of a new political season[…]

The results of the parliamentary elections held on July 21, 2019

Key points and trends: Parliamentary elections were held democratically, freely and openly. Ukraine once again succeeded in passing test on democracy. Only few majoritarian electoral districts were detected involving dirty technologies, clones, illegal agitation and single cases of bribing voters. The turnout was only 49.8% (as experts of Democracy House predicted), which is the smallest Read more about The results of the parliamentary elections held on July 21, 2019[…]