2020 for President Zelenskyi: risks and possible scenarios

   The next year will be extremely difficult for Volodymyr Zelenskyi. Zelenskyi personally bears all political responsibility for state decisions, economic and foreign policy. As a result, there is a systematic fall in his ratings. It is likely that, after the winter tariff crisis, key oligarchs will be actively involved in the competition against Zelenskyi, Read more about 2020 for President Zelenskyi: risks and possible scenarios[…]

Zelenskyi’s policy on peaceful settlement: strengths and weaknesses

    Volodymyr Zelenskyi initially expected that he would be able to rapidly bring an end to a conflict in Donbas. However, he disregarded that he has either to accept Russia’s terms of peaceful settlement or to maintain a low-intensity conflict, just like Petro Poroshenko. The strengths of this policy include focus on the release Read more about Zelenskyi’s policy on peaceful settlement: strengths and weaknesses[…]

The gas sector in Ukraine: problems and prospects

The Ukrainian gas market has changed a lot in the last five years. First of all, due to the conflict with Gazprom and the fact that Naftogaz is developing gas purchase practices in the West. Consumption of industrial consumers has fallen sharply in recent years due to various reasons – the economic crisis and the Read more about The gas sector in Ukraine: problems and prospects[…]

“Normandy format” negotiations: analysis of key political developments

 On December 6, the Presidential Office held a closed meeting of Presidential Assistant Andrii Yermak with key Ukrainian experts, where the main scenarios and options for the negotiation menu of Zelenskyi in Paris were elaborated. Subsequently, the expert developments became the basis for the NSDC decision dated December 7. In addition, Zelenskyi received very serious Read more about “Normandy format” negotiations: analysis of key political developments[…]

Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk Slavyansk, Druzhkivka, Konstantinovka schools

Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk, Slavyansk, Druzhkivka, Konstantinovka schools. The lessons were conducted within the project “Protection of children’s rights in armed conflict in eastern Ukraine” which Democracy House implements with the support of the French Embassy in Ukraine. For five years, Ukraine has been suffering from armed Read more about Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk Slavyansk, Druzhkivka, Konstantinovka schools[…]

Peaceful settlement: major groups of influence and possible scenarios

There are at least three groups of influence in the “Sluha Narodu” faction which shape Volodymyr Zelenskyi’s policy on conflict settlement in Donbas. Kolomoiskyi’s group, group “Kvartal” and Avakov’s group seek to use Zelenskyi’s peaceful intentions in serving own political and business interests. Depending on balance of power in the ruling party and influence of Read more about Peaceful settlement: major groups of influence and possible scenarios[…]

Political competition for Kyiv: analysis of 5 groups of influence in the “Sluha Narodu”

The struggle for control over Kyiv exacerbates in Zelenskyi’s team. In 2019, the city had a record budget of over UAH 58 billion (the 2020 budget is planned to reach UAH 65 billion). Control over Kyiv utility companies (metropolitan, advertising, transport, parking, construction of houses, roads and bridges, landscaping, renovation of premises, purchases and permits, Read more about Political competition for Kyiv: analysis of 5 groups of influence in the “Sluha Narodu”[…]

Ukraine’s debt policy in 2019: risks and shortcomings

In 2019, Ukraine pursues a rather active policy of attracting financial resources through the mechanism of government bonds. A significant portion of the bonds were bought by non-residents. For the first time in Ukraine, foreign investments in domestic government bonds (government bonds) exceeded UAH 100 billion (USD 4.06 billion). This policy made it possible to Read more about Ukraine’s debt policy in 2019: risks and shortcomings[…]

Democracy House presented a new issue of “U at Glance”

On November 19, 2019 Democracy House presented a new issue of U at Glance analytical paper. The presentation was held within the project “Analytical support for the Slovak 2019 OSCE Chairmanship” which is implemented by Democracy House with the support of the Slovak Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs. During the presentation, the experts of Democracy House analyzed Read more about Democracy House presented a new issue of “U at Glance”[…]

Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk schools

On November 13, 2019,  Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk schools. The lessons were conducted within the project “Protection of children’s rights in armed conflict in eastern Ukraine” which Democracy House implements with the support of the French Embassy in Ukraine. For five years, Ukraine has been suffering from Read more about Democracy House conducted lessons in child protection in armed conflict at Kramatorsk schools[…]

Land reform in Ukraine: to be or not to be

Land reform in Ukraine has already been lasting for 28 years. However, despite a number of completed measures (a huge area transferred to private ownership, unshared), the reform till recent times was far from being complete: the market of agricultural land does not exist, a significant portion of the rental market is “in the shadows”, Read more about Land reform in Ukraine: to be or not to be[…]

Ukrainian nationalist groups: analysis of players and their impact on political competition

On October 14, 2014, a March of Nationalists testified that radical forces in Ukraine could organize themselves and exert political pressure on the authorities. In general, the electoral positions of the radical forces and nationalist parties are very weak. However, despite small number and disparity, radicals and opponents of Zelenskyi’s peace initiatives are being very Read more about Ukrainian nationalist groups: analysis of players and their impact on political competition[…]